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RagingDebate.com - 2345StSt
2345StSt
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I live in Oregon and work for the state government.  Though I disagree that state employees are overpaid, I do heartily agree that the state will not economize or operate more efficiently until it's forced to. I blame the Salem (state capital) bureaucrats who seem blind to what's going on and deaf to suggestions for improvements.

What Oregon voters have done to themselves is summed up in the comment below. It's by Mish. Most alarming are Nike president, Phil Knight's, remarks in the bottom part of the article. Oregon's most successful entrepreneur says Oregon's on it's way to becoming an economic wasteland. Oregon's Death Spiral; Business Owners Say "I'm moving out" On Tuesday, unions in Oregon won a charred earth victory that will drive already troubled Oregon, straight off the cliff.


Oregon voters passed Measure 66 which raises tax rates on individuals who earn more than $125,000 and couples with incomes greater than $250,000. Voters also passed Measure 67 which increases business taxes.

Consider...

Oregon voters on Tuesday approved tax hikes on businesses and the wealthy, allowing legislators to avert budget cuts they said would have affected schools and services for the poor and elderly.

The most recent reports had labor outspending business in one of the state's most expensive issue campaigns. Common Cause of Oregon said Guiney's group raised $6.85 million to the $4.55 million raised by Oregonians Against Job-Killing Taxes.

"The bottom line is the unions bought the election," said State Republican Chairman Bob Tiernan. "It's going to be a sadder day as more businesses leave the state and more don't want to come here."

Passage of the measures spares the Legislature a month of budget-cutting when it starts a four-week session Monday.

"I'm moving out"

Also consider an email from one business owner in response. "C.S." Writes,

Mish:

Don't know if you noticed but Oregon narrowly passed another tax increase today. As a business owner for 25 years in Oregon, I'm moving out, going to Washington. Many other business owners I talk to are saying the same thing. They are all getting out. One of them refused to renew his commercial lease until seeing the results of 66/67 tax measures. He'll be moving out also.

Tektronix last year decided to get out as well, and they are moving 80% of what is left to Shanghi China. Many other companies have also left in the last couple years. Oregon will now be tied with Hawaii at 11% income tax, the highest in the US.

Moreover, they have added a tax now on gross revenue. It doesn't make any difference if you are losing money and trying to survive. They want to skim the top. Wasn't this the technique used by the Mafia?

If that's not bad enough already, the City of Portland is talking about massive tax increases. If you're a business in the city limits, the tax/business license fee has been 2.2%. They now want to increase it to 8%, a 400% increase. In that case, a business in the city limits of Portland will pay 11% income tax to the state and 8% income tax to the city: 19% city/state income tax, on top of the Federal 35% income tax.

Last year Oregon's unemployment was 12.5%, one of the very highest in the US. Two large Malls went bust in 2009 and there are entire blocks of empty retail locations. There is so much commercial space up for lease the FOR LEASE signs run up and down the streets everywhere.

One major decided he didn't like the number of signs and tried to pass an ordinance to restrict the signs. He said "It looks bad, like the city is going broke." His remedy: hide the problem.

One small company said it would have to terminate 2 more of their employees if 66/67 passed. That's just a sample. Oregon unemployment is headed much higher.

Regards, C.S.

Oregon's Death Spiral

Inquiring minds are reading Nike chairman: Anti-business climate nurtures 66, 67. [Phil Knight is the Nike chairman.]

Forty-six years ago, when Mark Hatfield was governor, I started a small business in Oregon. In our first year, sales totaled $8,000. I am proud that it eventually became a major employer in the state.

It has been my hope that other entrepreneurs would similarly pursue their dreams in Oregon. They won't. Measures 66 and 67 should be labeled Oregon's Assisted Suicide Law II. They will allow us to watch a state slowly killing itself.

They are anti-business, anti-success, anti-inspirational, anti-humanitarian, and most ironically, in the long run, they will deprive the state of tax revenue, not increase it.

The state in past years was headquarters for The First National Bank, US Bank, Pacific Power, Willamette Industries, Georgia-Pacific, Jantzen, White Stag, G.I. Joe's, Monaco Coach, Meier & Frank, among many others. They are now headquartered elsewhere, are controlled by non-Oregonians or no longer exist.

There are words to describe what we are doing with 66 and 67: It is called a death spiral.

Complete fools in Oregon just voted to save bloated union salaries and pensions, while driving away the real source of tax revenue, private business.

Unions that take hold of states inevitably wreck them. Oregon should take a good hard look in the mirror. It will see a reflection of Michigan. Good luck with that.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

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When you think you can stick it to the other guy, that is when we all loose.

RagingDebate.com - Anonymous
Anonymous
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I love the liberals, the title of the article couldn't be more perfect!

RagingDebate.com - hempdaddy6
hempdaddy6
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Hey Jim - dont you think the recent Supreme Court decision on corporations ability to spend $ on election that you have lambasted may have helped prevent this?  Yes, those evil capitalists like Phil Knight at Nike may have put a little (or a lot) of money to try to point out the idiocy perpetuated by the unions $'s that help get this passed.  And then the people could determine who was telling the truth, if either side.  That sounds like freedom of choice to me.

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Thanks, NOF.

On the bright side, now we have a wonderful experiment to monitor.

Washington State shares the same climate as Oregon. Its tax climate, however, is now quite different from its neighbor due south.

Let's see how each state fares in the coming years promoting prosperity and the pursuit of happiness for its citizens.

The statistics will be readily available - unemployment rate, population growth, per capita income, state government fiscal condition, plus a whole list of well-known social pathologies that will either increase or decrease.

Ain't federalism great? Yes. Each state can be a laboratory of social and political science (or quackery).

And people will vote with their feet. 

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State Ballot Measure No. 66
County Totals Measure

 

  Yes No Total
Baker 2,352 35.31% 4,309 64.69% 6,661
Benton 20,253 62.85% 11,971 37.15% 32,224
Clackamas 66,329 49.38% 67,994 50.62% 134,323
Clatsop 7,308 56.10% 5,719 43.90% 13,027
Columbia 9,156 52.63% 8,242 47.37% 17,398
Coos 10,605 47.32% 11,805 52.68% 22,410
Crook 2,787 35.05% 5,164 64.95% 7,951
Curry 3,760 41.87% 5,220 58.13% 8,980
Deschutes 22,983 41.43% 32,496 58.57% 55,479
Douglas 13,693 34.69% 25,779 65.31% 39,472
Gilliam 337 41.55% 474 58.45% 811
Grant 901 30.25% 2,078 69.75% 2,979
Harney 950 34.56% 1,799 65.44% 2,749
Hood River 3,808 57.31% 2,836 42.69% 6,644
Jackson 33,611 47.41% 37,288 52.59% 70,899
Jefferson 2,322 39.18% 3,604 60.82% 5,926
Josephine 13,602 44.83% 16,742 55.17% 30,344
Klamath 8,027 38.64% 12,747 61.36% 20,774
Lake 905 32.25% 1,901 67.75% 2,806
Lane 80,965 64.44% 44,676 35.56% 125,641
Lincoln 10,240 59.18% 7,064 40.82% 17,304
Linn 15,683 42.71% 21,037 57.29% 36,720
Malheur 2,405 35.44% 4,382 64.56% 6,787
Marion 45,516 51.17% 43,430 48.83% 88,946
Morrow 1,117 39.29% 1,726 60.71% 2,843
Multnomah 168,682 71.29% 67,947 28.71% 236,629
Polk 13,294 51.31% 12,616 48.69% 25,910
Sherman 217 26.21% 611 73.79% 828
Tillamook 5,234 52.77% 4,684 47.23% 9,918
Umatilla 7,977 47.90% 8,677 52.10% 16,654
Union 4,058 43.03% 5,373 56.97% 9,431
Wallowa 1,311 41.12% 1,877 58.88% 3,188
Wasco 3,970 49.23% 4,095 50.77% 8,065
Washington 82,813 53.06% 73,247 46.94% 156,060
Wheeler 233 34.26% 447 65.74% 680
Yamhill 14,834 47.30% 16,530 52.70% 31,364
Totals: 682,238 54.20% 576,587 45.80% 1,258,825
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State Ballot Measure No. 67
County Totals Measure

 

  Yes No Total
Baker 2,300 34.56% 4,356 65.44% 6,656
Benton 19,783 61.40% 12,439 38.60% 32,222
Clackamas 65,825 49.03% 68,435 50.97% 134,260
Clatsop 7,133 54.90% 5,860 45.10% 12,993
Columbia 9,022 51.93% 8,351 48.07% 17,373
Coos 10,459 46.57% 12,001 53.43% 22,460
Crook 2,743 34.53% 5,201 65.47% 7,944
Curry 3,752 41.43% 5,304 58.57% 9,056
Deschutes 22,641 40.86% 32,775 59.14% 55,416
Douglas 13,316 33.75% 26,138 66.25% 39,454
Gilliam 317 39.23% 491 60.77% 808
Grant 867 29.23% 2,099 70.77% 2,966
Harney 942 34.25% 1,808 65.75% 2,750
Hood River 3,719 56.10% 2,910 43.90% 6,629
Jackson 32,986 46.53% 37,910 53.47% 70,896
Jefferson 2,282 38.53% 3,641 61.47% 5,923
Josephine 13,322 44.03% 16,933 55.97% 30,255
Klamath 7,943 38.17% 12,867 61.83% 20,810
Lake 893 31.69% 1,925 68.31% 2,818
Lane 79,407 63.70% 45,243 36.30% 124,650
Lincoln 10,021 58.11% 7,225 41.89% 17,246
Linn 15,100 41.12% 21,623 58.88% 36,723
Malheur 2,235 33.24% 4,488 66.76% 6,723
Marion 44,460 50.14% 44,210 49.86% 88,670
Morrow 1,101 38.63% 1,749 61.37% 2,850
Multnomah 168,082 71.14% 68,184 28.86% 236,266
Polk 13,037 50.32% 12,872 49.68% 25,909
Sherman 230 27.85% 596 72.15% 826
Tillamook 5,182 52.25% 4,736 47.75% 9,918
Umatilla 7,739 46.44% 8,927 53.56% 16,666
Union 3,939 41.84% 5,476 58.16% 9,415
Wallowa 1,213 38.10% 1,971 61.90% 3,184
Wasco 3,915 48.58% 4,144 51.42% 8,059
Washington 81,863 52.52% 73,993 47.48% 155,856
Wheeler 230 33.97% 447 66.03% 677
Yamhill 14,371 46.34% 16,644 53.66% 31,015
Totals: 672,370 53.52% 583,972 46.48% 1,256,342
RagingDebate.com - 2345StSt
2345StSt
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For you non-Oregonians, the Portland (Oregon's one great metropolis) area counties are Multnomah and Washington. The university counties are Benton, Lane, and Multnomah. Oregon's state government is in Marion County. These five urban, university, and government counties have half the state's vote and voted overwhelming for the class vs. class tax. The other 32 counties barred the door but to no avail. The pigs, disguised as wolves, huffed and puffed and brought down the "rich" man's house. But watch out says  Mish [see above], when the house falls it'll fall on both working Oregonians and the pigs.

RagingDebate.com - Flyguy
Flyguy

I hate to say it but not enough people understand economics. They don't see the cause-and-effect relationship.

Maybe they should start taxing stupidity, then the coffers will never run dry.

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This is an excellent post, Nof.  11% state income tax rate?  Insane.  I would encourage other TBP members to comment on the trials and trevails, and successes, they note in their states.  People follow what is going on in their community and state.  There are a lot of good and bad stories out there.  Like Nof, tell us something interesting that's going on in your area.  We can all learn from it.

RagingDebate.com - Kobio
Kobio

Your rant about the voters of Oregon being stupid would go over a little better if you learned how to spell.  Pathetic.

RagingDebate.com - Tom Frank
Tom Frank
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How about this - abolish the state of Oregon. No state government. No useless civil servants, no taxes, no waste. No law, no regulation, no police. Everyone for him or herself. The ultimate de-regulation and privatization. Utopia!

 

Only downside is - who are you going to blame your troubles to?

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I'm reminded of that Margaret Thatcher quote..."The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money."  I'm in Washington, and with California on one side of Oregon and us on the other, and no income tax here...yet, I wonder where all those businesses will relocate?  Vacancies in Seattle running almost 20%.  This should help.  Thank you Oregon!  As long as we can keep our legislature's grubby hands off of other people's money, this should be very good for us!  : )

Hey dickwad, you know nothing about Oregon or finance in general.  I live in Oregon and have a degree in Finance, and I voted with the majority in passing both measures. 

We here in Oregon actually have the best roads and the best schools in the nation, we have a low crime rate, and we have a good budget system that includes a kicker tax so that in good years you get more back than you pay, in bad years the state can hold funds till things get better.  Right now things are so horribly bad that even with our great system there is a big deficit.  Plain fact, no political crapola, just a few bad years. 

 

The fact is that the Oregon is one of the least taxed states, yet like I said we have the best that the western world has to offer.  I bought a new BMW 328i convertible last June, if I had to register that car in California 20 miles from here where I grew up I would have to write a check to the DMV for $9,600 and pay 1,200 more next year, a thousand the following year, 800 for a couple years after that, get the picture?  Not to mention a buck a gallon more for gas.  Here in Oregon I paid $15 yes, fifteen to register my car once, for life because I am a disabled vet, but even regular drivers only pay about 55 bucks a year to get their tags. 

Not only that but Oregon is one of just a few states with no sales tax.  Da Dum!  Get it?  Sales taxes are regressive, they hit the poor harder than they hit the rich.  The main sources of funding in Oregon are the income from the federal government of course, and the income taxes on the rich.  But, those taxes were never indexed for inflation, and had we not approved the increase by prop 66 and 67 we would have ended up with a sales tax to fill the gap becuase as small and efficient as Oregon government is it still has to be paid for, that is why we passed it. 

Come to Oregon before you bitch about it, all gas stations are full serve, by law you are not aloowed to pump your own gas, go into the stores and experience the wonderful sensation of no sales tax.  We are used to the rich and corporate whores saying that they will leave and take all the money, all the jobs, but guess what dimwit, we get by and we live better than almost all other Americans.  So I guess what I am saying to your partisan bullshit is stuff it guy.

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Everyone has the right to be stupid.  :-")

There's an irony in this income tax since it appears that there's evidence that the tax base has been moving toward the consumption side of the equation rather than the production/labor side of the equation. This makes sense on the basis that people virtually have an unlimited capacity to consume, yet a limited capacity to produce.

Even perfect fiscal policy cannot solve , what at its heart is, a monetary problem.  You cannot solve a monetary problem with fiscal policy. It is not possible when a currency is created from debt. No way. No how.

Strike the root !

Bar Stool Economics

Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they add their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:


      The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
      The fifth would pay $1.
      The sixth would pay $3.
      The seventh would pay $7.
      The eighth would pay $12.
      The ninth would pay $18.
      The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

So, that's what they decided to do. The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. 'Since you are all such good customers, he said, 'I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20. Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

     The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes, so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink free.  But what about the other six men - the paying customers?  How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33.  But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay. And so:

The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100%  savings)
      The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).
      The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).
      The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
      The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings)..
      The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant the men began to compare their savings.

'I only got a dollar out of the $20,'declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man,' but he got $10!  

'Yeah, that's right,' exclaimed the fifth man. 'I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!'

'That's true!!' shouted the seventh man. 'Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!'
'Wait a minute,' yelled the first four men in unison. 'We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!'

The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the  most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

      David R. Kamerschen, Ph.D.
      Professor of Economics, University of Georgia

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What if all the states go south and take the seductive tax-the-other-guy route?

What ever happened to Constitutional Requirement that Taxes be Uniform...looks like a divide and conquer strategy.

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When I read threads like this, I become convinced even Ph.D Economists cannot do basic math.

 

The purpose of Taxation is to raise money to fund Goobermint services.  How you do that depends on the distribution of wealth through the society.  I am going to simplify our society and its wealth distribution into 3 sectors, Rich Pigmen Scumbags, Tea Baggers and J6P.  I’ll reduce the size of the society to 100 total people.  10 of them are Pigmen, 50 are Tea Baggers and 40 are J6Ps.

 

 

 

# of People

Income

Total Income by Sector

Rich Pigmen Scumbags

10

10000000

100000000

Tea Baggers

50

200000

10000000

J6P

40

30000

1200000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Income

111200000

 

 

 

 

 

 

% wealth Top 10%

0.899280576

 

 

% wealth Middle 50%

0.089928058

 

 

% wealth Bottom 40%

0.010791367

 

 

 

 

 

 

20% Cost of Goobermint

22240000

 

In this simplified version of our society, the top 10% of the Pigmen hold 90% of the Wealth.  Roughly the same as our aggregate distribution on a bigger scale.  50% of the people have 9%, and the remaining 40% of people have 1%.

 

Now assume the cost of running Goobermint for this society, including the Military, Cops, Prisons, Welfare system et al is a measly 20% of the total income in the society.  About $22M, assuming J6P makes $30K, Tea Baggers make around $200K and Pigmen make $10M Bonuses.

 

As you can see from the table above, the entire income of J6P and the Tea Baggers is only around $11M, half the total cost of Da Goobermint.  Even if you taxed these sectors at 100%, you couldn’t fund Da Goobermint, and that is a streamlined 20% Goobermint.  If you want to raise enough money to fund Da Goobermint, you have to tax the people who HAVE the money.  Tax the top 10% at 23%, and the Pigmen will each still have $7.7M, plenty of spending money.  You don’t need to tax the middle and lower class at ALL.  Its pointless.  They do not HAVE the money. The Pigmen have the money.  That is who you have to tax.  Its basic math.

 

RE

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“It is evident from the state of the country, from the habits of the people, from the experience we have had on the point itself, that it is impracticable to raise any very considerable sums by direct taxation. Tax laws have in vain been multiplied; new methods to enforce the collection have in vain been tried; the public expectation has been uniformly disappointed, and the treasuries of the States have remained empty."

Federalist Paper 12

Alexander Hamilton

 

“The apportionment of taxes on the various descriptions of property is an act which seems to require the most exact impartiality; yet there is, perhaps, no legislative act in which greater opportunity and temptation are given to a predominant party to trample on the rules of justice. Every shilling with which they overburden the inferior number, is a shilling saved to their own pockets.”

Federalist Paper 10

James Madison

RagingDebate.com - XRAYMAN
XRAYMAN
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...........socialist entry level workers; illegal mexicans by the ton; californicated for 25 years;... what did you expect...?...will the last real Oregonian turn off the lights on the way out.

RagingDebate.com - Flyguy
Flyguy
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If Oregon commits suicide, who gets the estate? I would think the pols in CA would love to get their grubby hands on some loot.

Douche bags.

RagingDebate.com - Anonymous
Anonymous
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i give it ten days til all corporate supplied necessities,like gas, groceries, and on and on go up. remember its retroactive to '09.

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Peope are easily confused between absolute wealth and relative wealth.  If we focused more on absolute wealth, we'd get along better but the socialist may then not have anything to complain about !

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The people of Oregon have done their constitutionally mandated duty and voted. They have to live with results. I love when people bitch, moan and complain about how the people of a state vote. It's their state, they voted, get over it. And if you can't get over it, just squeeze the trigger. You will be much happier.

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Proff Kamershen:  The tax rates in Europe are higher than in the U.S.  So I think those who flee overseas to evade taxes will have to find less - regulated - places to go.  Places with less security, where they may need to find a gated community, hire security, and invest in some guard dogs.  When people make more $$ than necessary for basic necessities, even allowing for some wide variation in what we regard as necessary, what they are left with is discretionary income.  The tax code will impact how they spend that discretionary income - will they buy 3, 4 and 5 or more houses, insanely expensive clothes, cars, purses and other status items, or will they invest in productive capacity and intellectual property - develop new products, cure disease, restore the productive capacity of the environment?  If the tax code makes healthy and productive investment tax deductible (as it does) but taxes consumption over a reasonable amount (that to be determined by the current national circumstance, greater during peace than war, etc.) then the collective product of our economy will be utilized in a way that benefits everyone, including the wealthy.  Allowing our infrastructure to deteriorate, failing to educate or even care for our children, allowing vast pockets of the public to go without basic healthcare, creating pools for the development and spread of disease - these are smart social choices?  A high tax code on those who have more than enough to satisfy their needs enables us (if wisely utilized) to hand a functional nation to our children.

RagingDebate.com - Flyguy
Flyguy
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Have any ramifications set in yet?

Just wondering.

RagingDebate.com - Anonymous
Anonymous
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a contractor friend of mine bid and won two major remod contracts--------work cancelled due to these votes. he's painting his wagon and getting the hell outa here. hes dual and going to canada. he wants to plant his feet on the canuck side and crap on the u s side. he says "anythings better than this slow death bullshit".

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